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Entries from March 2008

31 March 2008

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30 March 2008

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29 March 2008

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26 March 2008

The turkey and the butcher

Just wanted to get this little ditty out:

I was listening to a very interesting Long Now seminar by Nassim Taleb, about his insight into randomness, predictability, and the like.

If you don't know who he is, Taleb wrote a very popular book called 'The Black Swan', which takes it title from an old English saying that equated something impossible with seeing a black swan. Well, that saying got messed up when black swans were seen in Australia in the 18th century.

A great anecdote, created by his brother, he brought up to illustrate the overall point of the 'black swan' was the story about the turkey and the butcher.

Basically, the turkey views the butcher as this benevolent person, who constantly attends to the well-being of the turkey. And when the butcher comes one day to kill him, the turkey is astounded at the unpredictability of the butcher's behavior. Of course, to the butcher, it was all very predictable. Down to the chop.

Moral of the story: You can't always predict things based on past trends.

Corollary (for me at least): There are views that do make these 'black swans', these amazingly unpredictable events, predictable.

One other thing he mentioned that keeps me thinking and ties to the Long Now perspective is about the wisdom of old folks being a resource in how to deal with black swan moments. Hm...

25 March 2008

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24 March 2008

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23 March 2008

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21 March 2008

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ReadWriteWeb on: 35 Ways to Stream Your Life

Josh Cantone, on Read Write Web has a run-down of a bunch of different ways to lifestream (link below). I don't know about you, but I think that's significant.

He also points to an earlier article (primer) by Rich McManus. It was reading some stuff by RIch about lifestyle aggregators that initially got me thinking of this and was a driving thought behind the stuff I did here at Nokia.

The great thing is that there is a large collection of ways folks are doing lifestreaming. With each one, we end up learning more about what works and doesn't, increasing the chance of a big breakthrough (in the next 6 months?).

One other thing that Josh points out, is Jeremy Keith is one of the early explorers in this space. Interesting. I'd forgotten that.

Link: 35 Ways to Stream Your Life - ReadWriteWeb

It's a pretty good bet that if you're not making a Twitter or Facebook application, you're probably making a lifestreaming application.

19 March 2008

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My Photo

My writings

  • Cognections - site
    Precognition, cognition, recognition - photos and writings.
  • Lifeblog - site
    Thoughts and actions ranging from biomedicine, molecular manipulations, indiscriminate writing, the long now and a post-electronic age, various forms of performances thespian and corporate, and philosophizing on the fusion of Internet and mobile devices.
  • One night
    A global story of one night in the mobile life. Written for Vodafone's receiver magazine. Made into a podcast, too.
  • chillin'
    Deep thinking while up in the stratosphere.
  • The Depths of Thought and the Inquiry into Our Spirit
    Something I wrote eons ago, wondering at the difference between humans and other animals.